Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Danault 51.7% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 67.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 61.0%
Neutral zone
Danault 62.5%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Lowry
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lowry
Danault
Last 7: Lowry 4-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Lowry
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Lowry
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
52.6% (895)
-3.3%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
55.7% (97)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
45.5% (165)
-2.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Lowry
Danault
Home
50.2% (671)
54.0% (581)
Away
47.8% (709)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Lowry
Danault
P1
48.4%
53.7%
P2
50.1%
55.3%
P3
47.8%
46.5%
OT
66.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 15:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |