Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.2%). Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Danault 52.1% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 58.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Lowry
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lowry
Danault
Last 8: Lowry 3-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
4
Lowry
Danault
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Lowry
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
52.4% (958)
+1.3%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
62.0% (71)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
47.6% (187)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Lowry
Danault
Home
53.0% (583)
51.2% (605)
Away
50.6% (605)
53.2% (611)
By Period
Lowry
Danault
P1
52.1%
53.1%
P2
51.8%
49.8%
P3
52.3%
54.3%
OT
25.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |