Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Dubois 44.0% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 54.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 96.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 90.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Lowry
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Lowry
Dubois
Last 5: Lowry 5-0 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
43.5% (955)
+15.1%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
42.0% (81)
+23.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
54.5% (11)
-0.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Lowry is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Lowry shoots left. Dubois is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (717).
Home / Away
Lowry
Dubois
Home
61.0% (602)
47.0% (538)
Away
53.7% (514)
39.7% (509)
By Period
Lowry
Dubois
P1
57.3%
41.8%
P2
58.1%
43.2%
P3
57.4%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
61.4%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2019 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |