Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Dubois 49.7% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Dubois leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 76.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 63.6%
Neutral zone
Dubois 52.4%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Lowry
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Lowry
Dubois
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
4
Lowry
Dubois
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Dubois
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
49.8% (1,064)
+3.9%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
46.3% (67)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
53.3% (30)
-10.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Dubois is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Home / Away
Lowry
Dubois
Home
53.0% (583)
48.3% (582)
Away
50.6% (605)
51.1% (579)
By Period
Lowry
Dubois
P1
52.1%
52.0%
P2
51.8%
49.9%
P3
52.3%
46.9%
OT
25.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 13:45 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:18 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |