Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.7%). Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Dubois 49.7% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Dubois leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 69.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 78.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 51.4%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Lowry
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Lowry
Dubois
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
5
Lowry
Dubois
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Dubois
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
49.3% (842)
+0.0%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
57.1% (35)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
55.6% (9)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Lowry
Dubois
Home
50.2% (671)
51.0% (445)
Away
47.8% (709)
48.3% (441)
By Period
Lowry
Dubois
P1
48.4%
50.3%
P2
50.1%
49.5%
P3
47.8%
49.0%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |