Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.6%). Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Johansen 52.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 72.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 69.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 51.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Lowry
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Lowry
Johansen
Last 10: Lowry 2-8 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
8
Lowry
Johansen
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
49.4% (1,010)
+6.4%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
62.3% (236)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
67.2% (67)
-24.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Lowry
Johansen
Home
53.4% (515)
54.7% (655)
Away
52.6% (549)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Lowry
Johansen
P1
54.2%
52.2%
P2
54.4%
50.7%
P3
50.8%
54.8%
OT
37.5%
53.6%
Final 5 min
54.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 02:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |