Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Johansen 52.8% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 67.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Lowry
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lowry
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Lowry
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
51.9% (597)
-2.6%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
57.9% (133)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
54.3% (81)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Lowry
Johansen
Home
50.2% (671)
55.8% (387)
Away
47.8% (709)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Lowry
Johansen
P1
48.4%
50.0%
P2
50.1%
56.2%
P3
47.8%
52.6%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |