Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 21-9 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 81.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 98.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 95.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 93.6%
93.6%
6.4%
Lowry
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
9
(30 meetings)
21
9
Lowry
Reinhart
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
2
6
Lowry
Reinhart
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
15
3
Lowry
Reinhart
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Reinhart
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
42.5% (2,173)
+10.3%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
46.5% (525)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
41.3% (339)
+3.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
Lowry
Reinhart
Home
53.5% (5,893)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Lowry
Reinhart
P1
51.5%
44.5%
P2
51.8%
40.5%
P3
51.4%
44.5%
OT
46.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.9%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |