Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.6%). Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Reinhart 50.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Reinhart 65.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 56.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Lowry
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Lowry
Reinhart
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
5
Lowry
Reinhart
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
1
Lowry
Reinhart
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
49.4% (259)
+3.3%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
54.4% (136)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
47.9% (71)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Lowry
Reinhart
Home
52.4% (597)
54.9% (235)
Away
48.4% (583)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Lowry
Reinhart
P1
48.5%
52.3%
P2
52.2%
50.0%
P3
50.5%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |