Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 61.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 76.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Lowry
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lowry
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
44.1% (324)
+9.6%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
40.3% (72)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
33.9% (118)
+8.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Lowry
Reinhart
Home
53.0% (583)
40.5% (232)
Away
50.6% (605)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Lowry
Reinhart
P1
52.1%
46.4%
P2
51.8%
32.6%
P3
52.3%
45.4%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |