Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 45.4%). Ruzicka wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ruzicka 47.4% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Ruzicka 51.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 56.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Ruzicka
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ruzicka
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (219)
45.8% (755)
+0.8%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
48.3% (60)
-23.3%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Ruzicka is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Ruzicka shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Ruzicka
MacKinnon
Home
47.8% (134)
49.5% (396)
Away
43.8% (89)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Ruzicka
MacKinnon
P1
43.4%
50.2%
P2
51.9%
43.8%
P3
42.9%
41.4%
Final 5 min
46.2%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ruzicka
44.0%▼
47.5%
46.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%