Adam Ruzicka vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.8%). Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ruzicka wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ruzicka 47.4% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ruzicka 51.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 50.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Ruzicka
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Ruzicka
MacKinnon
Last 8: Ruzicka 3-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ruzicka
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ruzicka
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Ruzicka
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ruzicka
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (580)
46.1% (11,218)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.2% (29)
53.3% (1,412)
+1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Ruzicka is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Ruzicka shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Ruzicka
MacKinnon
Home
44.9% (294)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
48.9% (315)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Ruzicka
MacKinnon
P1
46.0%
47.4%
P2
49.1%
46.6%
P3
45.2%
46.1%
Final 5 min
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ruzicka
44.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Adam Ruzicka |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 05:53 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:14 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Adam Ruzicka |