Adrian Kempe vs Jonathan Marchessault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 24.1% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Marchessault 45.9% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 59.9%
Defensive zone
Kempe 50.0%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 52.4%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Kempe
Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
30.0% (30)
+8.2%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
66.7% (3)
-36.1%
On power play, Marchessault has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Kempe is 24.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kempe shoots left. Marchessault is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Kempe
Marchessault
Home
36.4% (66)
33.3% (21)
Away
35.5% (76)
33.3% (12)
By Period
Kempe
Marchessault
P1
37.3%
45.5%
P2
36.7%
25.0%
P3
31.4%
22.2%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
14.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
33.3%