Adrian Kempe vs Jonathan Marchessault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Marchessault holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Marchessault 42.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 75.9%
Defensive zone
Marchessault 51.6%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 65.2%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Kempe
Marchessault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Kempe
Marchessault
Last 5: Kempe 5-0 Marchessault
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
0
Kempe
Marchessault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
3
0
Kempe
Marchessault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
41.3% (1,437)
-1.1%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
44.3% (264)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
44.4% (9)
-1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Marchessault is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,121).
Home / Away
Kempe
Marchessault
Home
42.4% (1,045)
42.5% (888)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
41.0% (822)
By Period
Kempe
Marchessault
P1
39.5%
43.1%
P2
40.1%
42.1%
P3
42.2%
39.9%
OT
37.0%
42.3%
Final 5 min
37.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |