Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 50.0% vs Toews 58.4% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 75.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 93.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 88.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 84.2%
15.8%
84.2%
Kempe
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Kempe
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (36)
58.0% (901)
-10.8%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
69.5% (226)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
51.7% (209)
-31.7%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Kempe is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Kempe shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Kempe
Toews
Home
60.0% (25)
59.3% (637)
Away
40.0% (25)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Kempe
Toews
P1
57.9%
61.5%
P2
40.0%
55.2%
P3
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
30.0%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
50.0%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |