Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +31.7% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 36.7% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Toews 61.9% (-31.7%)
Offensive zone
Toews 67.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 70.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 58.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Kempe
Toews
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
32.7% (49)
61.1% (650)
-28.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
59.6% (99)
-59.6%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +59.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Kempe is 36.7% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Kempe shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Kempe
Toews
Home
11.1% (9)
64.8% (560)
Away
35.7% (42)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Kempe
Toews
P1
22.2%
62.3%
P2
33.3%
63.9%
P3
25.0%
62.8%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
7.7%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
31.4%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%