Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.5% vs Eller 49.0% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 71.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 92.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 89.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
Kempe
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Kempe
Eller
Last 8: Kempe 6-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
3
1
Kempe
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Kempe
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
3
0
Kempe
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (671)
49.9% (821)
-7.3%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
52.7% (74)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
43.9% (214)
+0.5%
On power play, Eller has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Kempe is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (487).
Kempe shoots left. Eller is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Kempe
Eller
Home
43.6% (369)
49.4% (559)
Away
41.6% (370)
48.5% (550)
By Period
Kempe
Eller
P1
40.0%
50.1%
P2
44.3%
46.7%
P3
43.6%
49.9%
OT
37.5%
71.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
42.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |