Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Eller 50.5% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Kempe leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 60.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 87.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 76.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Kempe
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Kempe
Eller
Last 10: Kempe 7-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
4
2
Kempe
Eller
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Kempe
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
3
2
Kempe
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
51.1% (10,296)
-10.9%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
52.8% (621)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
46.7% (1,751)
-4.1%
On even strength, Eller has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Kempe
Eller
Home
42.4% (1,045)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Kempe
Eller
P1
39.5%
51.2%
P2
40.1%
50.1%
P3
42.2%
50.2%
OT
37.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
37.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 07:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |