Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +21.0% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Eller 55.7% (-21.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 54.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 92.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 81.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Kempe
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kempe
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
56.5% (434)
-18.3%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
77.8% (9)
-47.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
56.5% (46)
-31.5%
On power play, Eller has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Kempe
Eller
Home
36.4% (66)
53.1% (211)
Away
35.5% (76)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Kempe
Eller
P1
37.3%
55.4%
P2
36.7%
58.1%
P3
31.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
40.0%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |