Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 37.4% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Draisaitl 55.6% (-17.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 84.7%
Defensive zone
Kempe 74.2%
Neutral zone
Kempe 87.8%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Kempe
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kempe
Draisaitl
Last 6: Kempe 1-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Kempe
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Kempe
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Kempe
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
56.6% (956)
-18.5%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
53.5% (144)
-11.4%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Kempe is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Kempe shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Kempe
Draisaitl
Home
39.1% (312)
56.1% (626)
Away
38.0% (371)
56.1% (572)
By Period
Kempe
Draisaitl
P1
39.4%
56.9%
P2
37.7%
53.7%
P3
39.0%
56.9%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
30.7%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |