Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 16-2 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 93.5%
Defensive zone
Kempe 96.2%
Neutral zone
Kempe 96.3%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 95.2%
95.2%
4.8%
Kempe
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
16
(18 meetings)
2
16
Kempe
Draisaitl
Last 10: Kempe 1-9 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
5
Kempe
Draisaitl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
6
Kempe
Draisaitl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
5
Kempe
Draisaitl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
52.9% (10,240)
-12.7%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
55.7% (2,827)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
51.2% (977)
-8.6%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Home / Away
Kempe
Draisaitl
Home
42.4% (1,045)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Kempe
Draisaitl
P1
39.5%
52.7%
P2
40.1%
53.6%
P3
42.2%
53.4%
OT
37.0%
57.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:59 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 17:26 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 2 | 17:48 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |