Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +21.0% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-21.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 79.2%
Defensive zone
Kempe 68.3%
Neutral zone
Kempe 78.7%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Kempe
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kempe
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Kempe
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Kempe
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
55.9% (835)
-17.7%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
61.8% (228)
-31.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
50.0% (40)
-25.0%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Kempe
Draisaitl
Home
36.4% (66)
55.1% (508)
Away
35.5% (76)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Kempe
Draisaitl
P1
37.3%
55.8%
P2
36.7%
55.7%
P3
31.4%
59.0%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |