Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kempe wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Schmaltz 41.2% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 75.2%
Defensive zone
Kempe 54.2%
Neutral zone
Kempe 63.0%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Kempe
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kempe
Schmaltz
Last 6: Kempe 1-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Kempe
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
3
Kempe
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
39.5% (658)
-1.4%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
41.3% (92)
+0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Kempe is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Kempe shoots left. Schmaltz is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Kempe
Schmaltz
Home
39.1% (312)
40.8% (424)
Away
38.0% (371)
39.3% (377)
By Period
Kempe
Schmaltz
P1
39.4%
38.4%
P2
37.7%
40.7%
P3
39.0%
41.0%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
30.7%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |