Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 24.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (-10.2%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 56.6%
Defensive zone
Kempe 53.3%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 56.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Kempe
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
45.9% (665)
-7.7%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
46.8% (111)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
50.0% (24)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Kempe is 24.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kempe shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Kempe
Schmaltz
Home
36.4% (66)
44.7% (409)
Away
35.5% (76)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Kempe
Schmaltz
P1
37.3%
40.3%
P2
36.7%
47.6%
P3
31.4%
51.0%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%