Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 50.2%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 62.2%
Neutral zone
Kempe 50.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Kempe
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Kempe
Schmaltz
Last 10: Kempe 7-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
0
Kempe
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kempe
Schmaltz
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
5
Kempe
Schmaltz
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
41.2% (3,399)
-1.0%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
47.1% (649)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
47.8% (134)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Kempe
Schmaltz
Home
42.4% (1,045)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Kempe
Schmaltz
P1
39.5%
41.1%
P2
40.1%
42.9%
P3
42.2%
43.0%
OT
37.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
37.2%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2019 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |