Adrian Kempe vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 67.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.9%
Neutral zone
Kempe 50.0%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (86)
47.6% (189)
-8.1%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
100.0% (2)
-65.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
29.4% (17)
+3.9%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +65.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kempe is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Kempe shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
38.9% (54)
48.5% (132)
Away
37.7% (61)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
40.5%
51.4%
P2
38.5%
41.3%
P3
33.3%
48.5%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.9%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
38.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |