Adrian Kempe vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 69.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.8%
Neutral zone
Kempe 56.4%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
47.6% (231)
-9.4%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
83.3% (12)
-52.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
33.3% (21)
-8.3%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +52.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
36.4% (66)
51.2% (164)
Away
35.5% (76)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
37.3%
50.0%
P2
36.7%
46.2%
P3
31.4%
49.5%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |