Adrian Kempe vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 90.6%
Defensive zone
Kempe 79.9%
Neutral zone
Kempe 82.5%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Kempe 2-8 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
7
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
44.9% (8,756)
-4.7%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
50.7% (839)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
37.9% (879)
+4.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
42.4% (1,045)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
39.5%
45.1%
P2
40.1%
43.9%
P3
42.2%
45.3%
OT
37.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
37.2%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 09:05 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 06:20 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 04:11 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |