Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.5% vs Steel 49.4% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 69.5%
Defensive zone
Kempe 60.5%
Neutral zone
Kempe 59.5%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Kempe
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Kempe
Steel
Last 10: Kempe 4-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kempe
Steel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kempe
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Kempe
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (671)
49.5% (204)
-6.9%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
57.1% (7)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
33.3% (9)
+11.1%
On power play, Steel has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kempe is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (487).
Kempe shoots left. Steel is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Kempe
Steel
Home
43.6% (369)
53.2% (77)
Away
41.6% (370)
46.9% (143)
By Period
Kempe
Steel
P1
40.0%
45.5%
P2
44.3%
49.4%
P3
43.6%
52.5%
OT
37.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
42.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2019 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |