Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Steel 50.6% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 55.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 86.5%
Neutral zone
Steel 75.7%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 86.5%
13.5%
86.5%
Kempe
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kempe
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
52.5% (200)
-14.3%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
71.4% (7)
-40.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
40.0% (45)
-15.0%
On power play, Steel has a +40.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Kempe
Steel
Home
36.4% (66)
49.5% (109)
Away
35.5% (76)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Kempe
Steel
P1
37.3%
49.5%
P2
36.7%
47.5%
P3
31.4%
56.6%
OT
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |