Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +23.4% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 36.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Hertl 54.5% (-23.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 54.4%
Defensive zone
Kempe 53.9%
Neutral zone
Kempe 60.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Kempe
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kempe
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kempe
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
32.7% (49)
54.1% (1,117)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
34.4% (32)
-34.4%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kempe is 36.7% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Kempe shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Kempe
Hertl
Home
11.1% (9)
54.3% (709)
Away
35.7% (42)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Kempe
Hertl
P1
22.2%
51.6%
P2
33.3%
53.6%
P3
25.0%
58.6%
OT
100.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
7.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
31.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |