Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kempe wins 37.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Karlsson 48.2% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 77.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 97.3%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 93.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 83.5%
16.5%
83.5%
Kempe
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Kempe
Karlsson
Last 8: Kempe 7-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
5
0
Kempe
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
48.9% (662)
-10.8%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
46.7% (107)
-4.6%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kempe is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Kempe shoots left. Karlsson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Kempe
Karlsson
Home
39.1% (312)
46.1% (401)
Away
38.0% (371)
49.8% (436)
By Period
Kempe
Karlsson
P1
39.4%
46.6%
P2
37.7%
49.5%
P3
39.0%
48.4%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
30.7%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2018 | OT | 01:11 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | William Karlsson |