Adrian Kempe vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Kempe leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 89.7%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 98.3%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 97.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 93.9%
6.1%
93.9%
Kempe
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
4
(19 meetings)
15
4
Kempe
Karlsson
Last 10: Kempe 7-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
8
1
Kempe
Karlsson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
3
1
Kempe
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
4
2
Kempe
Karlsson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
51.8% (7,849)
-11.6%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
54.8% (1,048)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
44.2% (1,109)
-1.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Kempe
Karlsson
Home
42.4% (1,045)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Kempe
Karlsson
P1
39.5%
50.3%
P2
40.1%
51.3%
P3
42.2%
52.4%
OT
37.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
37.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 12:35 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 26, 2018 | OT | 01:11 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | William Karlsson |