Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 50.0% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 55.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 80.3%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 69.1%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Kempe
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kempe
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (36)
51.4% (735)
-4.2%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
63.5% (115)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
42.9% (133)
-22.9%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kempe is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Kempe shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Kempe
Karlsson
Home
60.0% (25)
52.3% (524)
Away
40.0% (25)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Kempe
Karlsson
P1
57.9%
50.7%
P2
40.0%
51.4%
P3
50.0%
53.2%
Final 5 min
30.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
50.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |