Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 24.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Johnston 48.5% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 82.5%
Defensive zone
Kempe 68.1%
Neutral zone
Kempe 71.6%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Kempe
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Kempe
Johnston
Last 10: Kempe 3-7 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
Kempe
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
Kempe
Johnston
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Kempe
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
47.8% (623)
-9.6%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
50.8% (63)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
51.4% (35)
-26.4%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kempe is 24.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kempe shoots left. Johnston is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Kempe
Johnston
Home
36.4% (66)
47.6% (351)
Away
35.5% (76)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Kempe
Johnston
P1
37.3%
49.6%
P2
36.7%
47.3%
P3
31.4%
48.0%
OT
42.9%
46.7%
Final 5 min
40.0%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |