Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 23.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Johnston 44.8% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 60.5%
Defensive zone
Johnston 61.3%
Neutral zone
Kempe 52.5%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Kempe
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kempe
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Kempe
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
32.7% (49)
42.5% (318)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
62.5% (8)
-62.5%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kempe is 23.8% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Kempe shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Kempe
Johnston
Home
11.1% (9)
40.5% (168)
Away
35.7% (42)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Kempe
Johnston
P1
22.2%
46.9%
P2
33.3%
40.4%
P3
25.0%
41.9%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
7.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
31.4%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |