Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Johnston 49.1% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 90.9%
Defensive zone
Kempe 70.4%
Neutral zone
Kempe 84.7%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Kempe
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Kempe
Johnston
Last 10: Kempe 3-7 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
3
Kempe
Johnston
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
Kempe
Johnston
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Kempe
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
49.3% (2,189)
-9.1%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
52.6% (173)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
44.7% (237)
-2.1%
On power play, Johnston has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Johnston is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,967).
Home / Away
Kempe
Johnston
Home
42.4% (1,045)
49.2% (1,319)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
49.0% (1,280)
By Period
Kempe
Johnston
P1
39.5%
50.1%
P2
40.1%
48.3%
P3
42.2%
48.8%
OT
37.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
37.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |