Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Barkov 56.0% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 13-1 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 58.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 92.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 72.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Lowry
Barkov
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
13
(14 meetings)
1
13
Lowry
Barkov
Last 10: Lowry 1-9 Barkov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
0
7
Lowry
Barkov
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
3
Lowry
Barkov
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
0
3
Lowry
Barkov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Barkov
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
55.5% (704)
-1.8%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
62.3% (247)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
46.7% (75)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barkov shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Lowry
Barkov
Home
53.0% (583)
56.4% (550)
Away
50.6% (605)
56.7% (476)
By Period
Lowry
Barkov
P1
52.1%
56.5%
P2
51.8%
55.5%
P3
52.3%
57.9%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 15:56 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:10 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:17 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |