Aleksander Barkov vs Chandler Stephenson

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Aleksander Barkov holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Barkov 56.0% vs Stephenson 51.5% (+4.9%)
H2H factor Barkov leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Barkov 83.3%
Defensive zone Stephenson 60.9%
Neutral zone Barkov 52.8%
Result Aleksander Barkov favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Barkov Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 4 (11 meetings)
7
4
Barkov Stephenson
Last 10: Barkov 6-4 Stephenson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
1
Barkov Stephenson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
0
2
Barkov Stephenson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
1
Barkov Stephenson
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Barkov
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
51.2% (1,041)
+4.3%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
57.8% (211)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
47.7% (222)
-1.0%
On power play, Barkov has a +4.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Barkov
Stephenson
Home
56.4% (550)
52.2% (751)
Away
56.7% (476)
51.0% (723)
By Period
Barkov
Stephenson
P1
56.5%
50.4%
P2
55.5%
51.5%
P3
57.9%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
51.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%
47.5%
56.5%
Stephenson
56.0%
52.5%
51.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 22, 2025 3 16:55 Neutral Chandler Stephenson
Feb 22, 2025 3 16:48 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Feb 22, 2025 3 10:31 Neutral Aleksander Barkov
Feb 22, 2025 2 05:28 Offensive Aleksander Barkov
Dec 10, 2024 OT 01:40 Offensive Chandler Stephenson
Dec 10, 2024 OT 00:00 Neutral Aleksander Barkov
Dec 10, 2024 3 18:20 Offensive Aleksander Barkov
Dec 10, 2024 3 03:10 Offensive Aleksander Barkov
Dec 10, 2024 2 16:29 Neutral Aleksander Barkov
Dec 10, 2024 1 15:24 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Dec 10, 2024 1 11:52 Offensive Aleksander Barkov