Aleksander Barkov vs Chandler Stephenson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.4%). Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 16 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Stephenson 52.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 23-22 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 58.4%
Defensive zone
Barkov 54.1%
Neutral zone
Barkov 56.6%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Barkov
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
22
(45 meetings)
23
22
Barkov
Stephenson
Last 10: Barkov 6-4 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
7
8
Barkov
Stephenson
15 total
Defensive Zone
Even
7
7
Barkov
Stephenson
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
9
7
Barkov
Stephenson
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
51.9% (5,743)
+0.5%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
59.8% (1,107)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
45.7% (823)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Home / Away
Barkov
Stephenson
Home
53.8% (7,227)
52.6% (3,827)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
52.2% (3,846)
By Period
Barkov
Stephenson
P1
52.7%
51.6%
P2
53.4%
52.4%
P3
52.9%
52.8%
OT
53.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 10, 2024 | OT | 01:40 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 10, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |