Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 46.8% vs Miller 45.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 54.7%
Defensive zone
Barkov 50.0%
Neutral zone
Barkov 52.4%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Barkov
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Barkov
Miller
Last 5: Barkov 4-1 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
0
Barkov
Miller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Barkov
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (801)
44.7% (284)
+0.9%
Power Play
52.2% (157)
46.0% (50)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (65)
30.4% (23)
+14.2%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Barkov is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Barkov shoots left. Miller is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Barkov
Miller
Home
45.6% (502)
44.2% (206)
Away
47.4% (521)
43.7% (151)
By Period
Barkov
Miller
P1
45.9%
44.1%
P2
45.1%
40.2%
P3
47.3%
46.2%
OT
70.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2017 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 19:39 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |