Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Miller 53.8% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 65.2%
Defensive zone
Miller 58.5%
Neutral zone
Miller 54.1%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Barkov
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Barkov
Miller
Last 10: Barkov 6-4 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Miller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
Miller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Barkov
Miller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
55.5% (933)
+1.5%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
61.6% (73)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
45.8% (227)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Miller is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (769).
Home / Away
Barkov
Miller
Home
59.2% (557)
53.5% (578)
Away
55.1% (695)
54.7% (655)
By Period
Barkov
Miller
P1
56.7%
58.3%
P2
54.8%
53.5%
P3
59.7%
50.1%
OT
55.6%
70.6%
Final 5 min
59.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 11:45 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 11:31 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |