Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Miller 57.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 67.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 62.3%
Neutral zone
Miller 50.1%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Barkov
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Barkov
Miller
Last 10: Barkov 3-7 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Miller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
2
Barkov
Miller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
4
6
Barkov
Miller
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
58.2% (823)
-2.7%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
58.2% (165)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
58.9% (90)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Home / Away
Barkov
Miller
Home
56.4% (550)
59.1% (558)
Away
56.7% (476)
57.3% (520)
By Period
Barkov
Miller
P1
56.5%
60.7%
P2
55.5%
57.5%
P3
57.9%
56.1%
OT
50.0%
73.3%
Final 5 min
58.7%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:45 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |