Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Barkov wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.5% vs Miller 49.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 67.1%
Defensive zone
Miller 52.5%
Neutral zone
Miller 61.0%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Barkov
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Barkov
Miller
Last 10: Barkov 3-7 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
5
Barkov
Miller
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Barkov
Miller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (1,377)
47.9% (357)
+6.6%
Power Play
54.7% (340)
53.7% (162)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (222)
20.0% (5)
+27.3%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Barkov is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,222).
Barkov shoots left. Miller is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Barkov
Miller
Home
54.5% (948)
53.0% (281)
Away
52.9% (991)
45.3% (243)
By Period
Barkov
Miller
P1
55.2%
49.4%
P2
54.2%
53.3%
P3
52.3%
45.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.7%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |