Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Drury 51.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 55.1%
Defensive zone
Barkov 68.7%
Neutral zone
Drury 65.2%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Barkov
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Barkov
Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Drury
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
0
1
Barkov
Drury
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
54.4% (114)
-1.3%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
55.6% (9)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
0.0% (3)
+50.8%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. Drury is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Barkov
Drury
Home
58.1% (627)
50.0% (68)
Away
52.1% (705)
56.9% (58)
By Period
Barkov
Drury
P1
53.3%
39.5%
P2
55.0%
57.1%
P3
56.0%
60.4%
Final 5 min
55.5%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Jack Drury |