Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Drury 54.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 50.5%
Defensive zone
Drury 51.3%
Neutral zone
Drury 58.4%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Barkov
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barkov
Drury
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Drury
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
54.7% (590)
+2.2%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
54.7% (53)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
71.4% (21)
-26.2%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Drury is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Barkov
Drury
Home
57.4% (540)
56.7% (358)
Away
57.1% (560)
53.6% (306)
By Period
Barkov
Drury
P1
57.6%
57.3%
P2
56.6%
57.6%
P3
56.9%
51.1%
Final 5 min
57.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jack Drury |