Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Benn 54.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 55.9%
Defensive zone
Benn 55.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 57.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Barkov
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Barkov
Benn
Last 5: Barkov 2-3 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
2
Barkov
Benn
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Benn
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Barkov
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
55.3% (709)
+1.7%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
58.3% (127)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
47.3% (55)
+1.0%
On power play, Barkov has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Benn is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Barkov
Benn
Home
59.2% (557)
56.2% (443)
Away
55.1% (695)
54.2% (448)
By Period
Barkov
Benn
P1
56.7%
55.4%
P2
54.8%
54.1%
P3
59.7%
55.6%
OT
55.6%
71.4%
Final 5 min
59.4%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | OT | 03:11 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |