Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Benn 59.9% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 53.8%
Defensive zone
Barkov 55.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 51.8%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Barkov
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barkov
Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Barkov
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
62.6% (479)
-5.7%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
58.4% (190)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
58.1% (43)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Benn is 67.2% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Barkov
Benn
Home
57.4% (540)
60.5% (349)
Away
57.1% (560)
62.0% (363)
By Period
Barkov
Benn
P1
57.6%
60.8%
P2
56.6%
60.1%
P3
56.9%
62.4%
OT
72.2%
83.3%
Final 5 min
57.3%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |