Aleksander Barkov vs Jansen Harkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Harkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Harkins 52.4% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 86.2%
Defensive zone
Harkins 70.8%
Neutral zone
Barkov 50.2%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Barkov
Harkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Barkov
Harkins
Last 5: Barkov 3-2 Harkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov
Harkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Harkins
0
1
Barkov
Harkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Harkins
0
1
Barkov
Harkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Harkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
50.7% (152)
+4.8%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
100.0% (1)
-37.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
59.1% (66)
-12.4%
On power play, Harkins has a +37.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Harkins shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Harkins is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Barkov
Harkins
Home
56.4% (550)
54.8% (115)
Away
56.7% (476)
51.9% (104)
By Period
Barkov
Harkins
P1
56.5%
51.4%
P2
55.5%
53.3%
P3
57.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
58.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Jansen Harkins |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |