Aleksander Barkov vs Jansen Harkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.9%). Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Harkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Harkins 52.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 72.0%
Defensive zone
Harkins 52.4%
Neutral zone
Barkov 53.5%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Barkov
Harkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Barkov
Harkins
Last 5: Barkov 3-2 Harkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov
Harkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Harkins
0
1
Barkov
Harkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Harkins
0
1
Barkov
Harkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Harkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
51.1% (403)
+1.3%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
80.0% (10)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
59.4% (69)
-11.6%
On power play, Harkins has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Harkins shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Harkins is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Barkov
Harkins
Home
53.8% (7,227)
55.7% (244)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
50.0% (238)
By Period
Barkov
Harkins
P1
52.7%
60.8%
P2
53.4%
45.1%
P3
52.9%
53.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Jansen Harkins |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |