Aleksander Barkov vs Jason Spezza
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Spezza 52.4% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 50.1%
Defensive zone
Barkov 64.7%
Neutral zone
Barkov 50.8%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Barkov
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Barkov
Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
53.7% (451)
+3.3%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
54.3% (92)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
38.2% (34)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Barkov is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Barkov shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Barkov
Spezza
Home
59.2% (557)
55.0% (282)
Away
55.1% (695)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Barkov
Spezza
P1
56.7%
53.1%
P2
54.8%
53.2%
P3
59.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |